Russia-Ukraine News and Analysis
- Russia to Sharply Cut Military Operations in Kyiv and Chernihiv
- Geopolitical Risk Premium Unwinds in Oil and Gold
- Euro Soars to Session Highs
Russia-Ukraine Progress
Constructive talks between Russia and Ukraine have sparked a fresh wave of optimism for a potential peace deal. In the latest round of talks, Ukraine has proposed adopting a neutral status in exchange for security guarantees, meaning that it would not join military alliances or host military bases. Subsequently, Ukraine believes that enough progress has been made for a meeting to be scheduled between Putin and Zelensky. What’s more, Russia has also stated that they will sharply cut military operations near Kyiv and Chernihiv.
Oil and Gold Slides to Session Lows
This is by far the most positive development we have had regarding the Russian-Ukraine conflict. In turn, wars trades have continued to unwind with both oil and gold prices coming under notable pressure. The latter eyeing key support at 1880-85, where should the precious metal close below risks tilted towards 1835-50.
Crude Oil Reaction to Positive Russia-Ukraine Talks
Source: Refinitiv
Gold Bearish Below 1880
Source: Refinitiv
Meanwhile, the most exposed currency to Russia risks, the Euro, is trading at fresh session highs, briefly testing 1.1100. Resistance ahead at 1.1120.
Source: Refinitiv
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