BTC and XRP – Lower lows expected

BTC/USD

On Sunday the price of Bitcoin has spiked to the upside reaching $7192 at its highest point. Since then we have seen an impulsive decrease below the point from which the previous increase starting with the price coming down to $6625 at it’s lowest point which was a decrease of 7.88% made yesterday. From there we have seen an increase of 4.37% at it’s highest point today as the price came to retest the $6914 horizontal level. As the price experienced rejection it was set of in a downward trajectory again and is currently sitting around the levels of the minor horizontal level at $6792. Looking at the wave structure we can see that the first two waves to the downside have been completed after a five-wave move to the upside in an ascending channel ended which is presumed to be the completion of the C wave of a higher degree.

This means that not from the $7413 level we are seeing the start of either an impulsive move to the downside in a five-wave manner or another ABC correction in a three-wave manner. The first structure could be the first impulse wave or the A wave as both are subdivided into five waves, and with the corrective increase that followed coming to retest the 1st sub-waves ending point it could be the 2nd wave of a higher degree.

In either way not a 3rd structure to the downside would be expected to develop which is to lead the price of Bitcoin below it’s prior low, and potentially to the next significant horizontal level at $6266.

XRP/USD

From Sunday’s high at $0.19574 the price of Ripple has fallen by 7.32% to the weekly low at $0.1814 made yesterday but from there made a 4% recovery coming to $0.1893 at it’s highest point today. Currently, the price is being traded at $0.1856 and is in a downward trajectory but is showing sign of buyer’s pressure.

As you can see the price has been in a descending channel from the 8th of April after an interaction with the $0.204 level where it found resistance. This was the completion of the 5th wave from the lower degree similarly like in the case of Bitcoin which is why this descending range has been formed. Two consecutive ABC correction have been made which is why we are most likely seeing the third one.

B wave from the now presumed 3rd ABC correction to the downside has interacted with the descending channels resistance and was rejected which is why we are most likely going to see the price of Ripple heading below the 1.618 Fibonacci level for a lower low.

Nikola Lazić

Expertise: Cryptocurrencies, Technical analysis, Elliot waves, Fibonacci
Nikola has a bachelor degree in Sociology, which gives him the edge in the financial market, knowing a lot about herd mentality. That is why he uses Elliot wave principles mostly, in combination with Fibonacci levels. He started learning more about financial markets back in 2015 and is now a full-time trader.
As an anarcho-capitalist, he fully supports the vision of decentralized future offered by cryptocurrencies, that’s why his attention and interest are mostly focused on them. His analysis has been praised by some of the most influential people from the cryptocurrency scene, like Jeff Berwick, the founder of The Dollar Vigilante Newsletter, Vit Jedlicka, the president of Liberland, and other trader colleagues.