Exactly. This is a trial of how the West responds to China invading Taiwan. Unfortunately for Taiwan, they have very little solid support in the SW Pacific and SE Asia due to the weakness of just about every other country in the region. Only the QUAD, ANZUS, AUKUS, FPDA, ABCA, will put up any support and defence, but they won’t. While everyone thinks the US is the most important player here, I think India and Japan hold the keys here. They can shut off the SLOC from/to China from all directions at any time, practically trapping them in their current geography and unable to move. They need to signal that capability right now.
In the same way as any increased “help” from NATO to the Ukrainian gov is raising the stakes and pushing Putin to go further and further toward full Ukraine takeover ,more deaths and flattening of the actual Ukrainian regions,
I believe any action against maritime channels for China would be an act of war.
Remember Japan’s start of WWII?
There is a museum of war in Tokyo where the Japaneses are taught in 2020 why WWII started ….with nice diagrams of import flow routes cut by the US.
This is still the official reason of Pearl Harbour.
a bit like our WMD in irak…
Do we want to give China the same pretext?
And yes Putin and Xi had discussion before , and Xi will support Putin both for Taiwan test and for cheaper minerals.Also because the USD/power hegemony is being destroyed.
China has a strong interest in supporting Putin.
Options aheads:
NATO and EU carry on providing weapons and throwing oil on the fire
-> half of ukraine flattened and ugly occupation war ..un winnable or nuclear tactical war to cut of weapon flow..an horror not impossible now.
Putin removed from power:
Full short US victory, Reset is unchallenged, Europe muslim in 50y, Ukranian people can breath and be safe but Taiwan is taken over within weeks.
Start of WWIII US vs China hopefully cold
Takeover of Ukraine, installation of delimitarised gov on the real Ukrainian part:
.aka imho the original plan from Putin a Finland like status.
They do what they want as long as neutral.everyone is happy .inc Xi except US and vassals.USD destroyed as sanctions just hit back on long term
Ukraine can have democracy in the half or 2/3 which is Ukrainian,.
Russian part Crimea,Dombas go back to “mother” Russia.
Taiwan doomed but maybe in a bloodless way. Aka HK style
Lastly .carry on the current mess..not sure can go much longer
Civilian evacuation blocked by Ukrainian President ..of course as population are his best weapon
always the case
At one stage,Putin has to go finish the job if only to negotiate deal.terrible for Ukraine population.
But all good,we already have stories of Ukrainian women raped, bad Russians bombing nuclear plant,soon they will be unplugging premature baby units..i hope no one has forgotten these from Kuwait invasion propaganda books?
What a mess ..
however i blame the swamp, Putin and military lobby, i really think the real blame is on the masses of uneducated people we have all become.
Sheeple to propaganda
University degrees here, in the states without having even had a single history unit, happily going to gice covid jabs to kids, chanting democracy for Ukraine while living under 3y of emergency rules, unlegal as not democratically voted discrimination laws, Australians forbidden to leave the country for 3y yet protesting again undemocratic Russia or China.
The irony.
Honestly nothing good i can see ahead.
The covid scam was a test on population submission in the West.
We passed with honors….put your seatbelt on,this will not stop there.
Reset forever….
Be the first to comment