BTC and XRP – Retracement Expected


The price of Bitcoin has increased by around 10% from last Friday when it was sitting at $7712 at it’s lowest point as it came up to $8536 at it’s highest today. The price is currently sitting at $8493 as it reached its key horizontal level at $8506 and is retesting it from the downside.Looking at the hourly chart, you can see that this increase was expected after a retest of the prior low in a five-wave manner which was presumed to be the C wave out of the next ABC to the upside out of which the A wave was presumed to be the leading diagonal we have seen in the second half of December.

This means that the recovery since the start of the year is considered a corrective increase after which further lows could be seen, potentially to the lower horizontal support level at $6266, or even lower at $5800. This is because we are most likely seeing the X wave from the last WXY of a higher degree so this second wave could, in theory, it could continue moving further to the upside before another downturn starts. But as the price reached its significant horizontal resistance and is now retesting it we are likely to see a rejection leading the price into a minor retracement.

From the depth of the retracement, we are going to evaluate the possibilities of both potential scenarios.


The price of Ripple has also followed the market and increased significantly since the start of the year coming from $0.18542 on the 3rd to $0.226 on the 6th but fell back below to $0.2 on the 10th. From there we have seen another round of interest as the price increased by 12% as it came up to $0.22483 at its highest point today, coming to the previous high vicinity.

On the hourly chart, you can see that the price found support at the significant level intersection between the descending trendline and the horizontal support level at $0.1893 from where the price increased exponentially moving in a parabolic manner. As this resulted in a recovery of over 21% it indicates bullishness but we could be still seeing a corrective recovery like in the case of Bitcoin before further lows are established.

Another possibility would be that the price of Ripple bottomed out at the mentioned low and is now starting a higher degree bullish uptrend in which case the currently seen increase is to continue pushing the price above the previous high and potentially above the 1 Fibonacci level which would confirm this assumption.

Nikola Lazić

Expertise: Cryptocurrencies, Technical analysis, Elliot waves, Fibonacci
Nikola has a bachelor degree in Sociology, which gives him the edge in the financial market, knowing a lot about herd mentality. That is why he uses Elliot wave principles mostly, in combination with Fibonacci levels. He started learning more about financial markets back in 2015 and is now a full-time trader.
As an anarcho-capitalist, he fully supports the vision of decentralized future offered by cryptocurrencies, that’s why his attention and interest are mostly focused on them. His analysis has been praised by some of the most influential people from the cryptocurrency scene, like Jeff Berwick, the founder of The Dollar Vigilante Newsletter, Vit Jedlicka, the president of Liberland, and other trader colleagues.

Be the first to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.