BTC and XRP – Lower low expected


On Sunday the price of Bitcoin was sitting at $7288 at its highest point from where it started decreasing in a five-wave manner. Yesterday we have seen a slight recovery but after it’s a completion at $7218 the price started impulsively decreasing falling to $6777 at it’s lowest point yesterday. Since then another minor recovery has been seen with the price currently being traded at $6861.

On the hourly chart, you can see that the price fell below the significant horizontal support at $6914 and has retested it today, finding resistance there. This rejection would most likely push the price to continue moving for another lower low, especially considering that from Sunday’s high we have seen a 4 wave’s developing and is likely to ends as a five-wave decrease.

If this occurs the price would form an impulsive move to the downside after a breakout has been made from the ascending channel. In that case, we could be seeing the development of the 3rd wave from the higher degree count as the prior upside move ending with the mentioned ascending channel could have been corrective 2nd wave and the descending channel from the 7th of April it’s 1st.

The price target for the expected lower low would be at around $6680 but could continue below the ending point of the B wave from the 2nd sub-wave in which case $6450 could be seen. But if the price starts impulsively increasing from here the count would be valid until it would reach $7100 where the territory of the 1st wave is.


The price of Ripple has been following the same pattern as in the case of Bitcoin. From Sunday’s high at $0.197 we have seen a decrease to $0.189 horizontal level, a bounce from it to $0.194 but immediately after fell to $0.1793 which is a decrease of 7.95% from yesterday’s high. Now the price is sitting at around $0.183 and is in a downward trajectory after a minor recovery.

Looking at the hourly chart, you can see that like in the case of Bitcoin we have seen 4 waves developing from Sundays high. This is most likely to end as a five-wave decrease with another local lower low below the 1.618 Fibonacci level. Prior to the impulsive descending move, we have seen the price in an upward trajectory in a five-wave manner. This could have been the C wave out of the corrective move to the upside but it could have been the starting wave out of the next impulsive move.

If the price continues moving below the $0.1776 this possibility would be invalidated as the price can’t go below the starting point of it’s 1st wave on the 2nd.

Nikola Lazić

Expertise: Cryptocurrencies, Technical analysis, Elliot waves, Fibonacci
Nikola has a bachelor degree in Sociology, which gives him the edge in the financial market, knowing a lot about herd mentality. That is why he uses Elliot wave principles mostly, in combination with Fibonacci levels. He started learning more about financial markets back in 2015 and is now a full-time trader.
As an anarcho-capitalist, he fully supports the vision of decentralized future offered by cryptocurrencies, that’s why his attention and interest are mostly focused on them. His analysis has been praised by some of the most influential people from the cryptocurrency scene, like Jeff Berwick, the founder of The Dollar Vigilante Newsletter, Vit Jedlicka, the president of Liberland, and other trader colleagues.

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